Refinance Break-Even Point: How to Know If Refinancing Pays Off
Mike Starr
Founder, MortgageWizardTools · M.S. Organizational Management
The break-even point is the key to deciding whether refinancing makes financial sense. It tells you how many months you need to keep the new loan for the monthly savings to equal the closing costs. If you sell or refinance before the break-even, you lose money.
The Formula
Break-Even Months = Total Closing Costs / Monthly Savings
Example:
- •Closing costs: $5,000
- •Monthly savings: $200
- •Break-even: 25 months
If you keep the loan longer than 25 months, you save money. If you sell before then, the refinance cost you money.
What Counts as Closing Costs
Refinance closing costs typically include:
- •Lender fees (origination, underwriting, application)
- •Title insurance and search
- •Appraisal
- •Recording fees
- •Prepaid interest
- •Discount points (if any)
Total costs usually range from 2% to 5% of the loan amount. Some lenders offer "no-closing-cost" refinances with a slightly higher rate.
Calculating Monthly Savings
Your monthly savings is the difference between your current payment and the new payment (principal and interest only — taxes and insurance do not change unless your escrow analysis shifts).
Important: If you are extending the term (e.g., from 20 years remaining to a new 30-year loan), the lower payment may not mean savings — you could pay more total interest despite the lower monthly cost.
A More Complete Analysis
Monthly savings alone does not tell the whole story. Also consider:
- •Total interest saved over the life of the new loan vs. the old
- •Equity position — extending the term resets your amortization
- •Opportunity cost — could you invest the closing costs and earn more?
Example
| Current Loan | New Loan | |
|---|---|---|
| Balance | $300,000 | $300,000 |
| Rate | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Term Remaining | 25 years | 30 years |
| Payment | $2,122 | $1,799 |
| Monthly Savings | — | $323 |
| Closing Costs | — | $5,000 |
| Break-Even | — | 15.5 months |
Key Takeaways
- •Break-even = closing costs / monthly savings
- •Only refinance if you plan to keep the loan past the break-even
- •Watch for term extension — a lower payment may mean more total interest
- •Consider no-closing-cost refinances if you might move soon
- •Use our Break-Even Refinance Calculator to calculate yours